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An Abacus and a Pencil

An abacus and a pencil – it may feel like that’s how your retirement claim is being processed. In two separate articles published in GovExec and Federal Times this week, delays in retirement processing by OPM were addressed again.  The GovExec article originally quoted John Berry (corrected in a later version) as saying that OPM was processing an average of 3.5 applications a day! Seriously? 3.5?

When retracted, there wasn’t a correction of exactly how many they are processing which makes one wonder if they know. The article also stated (confirmed by an anonymous source at OPM) that there are currently 60,000 pending retirement applications in the queue for processing. And that backlog is before we get to the end of the year when the majority of federal employees retire.

Without significant changes, that backlog will get a lot larger before it gets smaller. However, there seems to have been an improvement in the amount retirees are receiving in interim retirement payments.  Beginning last June, those interim payments began using agency retirement estimates as the basis for determining the temporary amount.

Since you cannot control how long it takes OPM to process your retirement claim, you may want to ensure that your retirement estimate is accurate so you stand the best chance of getting the maximum interim payment.


Wall Street News

In the retirement classes I conduct, when federal employees are asked whether they trust Wall Street, there is always a resounding, “No!” Being skeptical myself about the benefits that Wall Street traders supply, I decided to head to the Big Apple for some research.

On October 11th, Barry Ritholtz, an opinionated, yet very approachable NY analyst, put on what’s known as The Big Picture Conference at the New York City Athletic Club. The agenda included economists, traders, analysts, strategists (I’m not sure the difference even after spending the day with them) and financial reporters and bloggers.

This was a group of intelligent people working in the heart of our country’s financial district. While their viewpoints came from a perspective of making money as an investor/for investors, there were clear opinions about the economy; where we’re headed (most were honest enough to admit that they just didn’t know) and some investing advice.

So here are things I came away with and learned on my day on Wall Street. (We were about 15 minutes away from the actual street and the Occupy Wall Street protest) :

The growth experienced in the 80’s and 90’s was spurred by debt – not real growth in the economy. This has left us, as a country, over-leveraged both at government and private levels. There are only 2 ways to de-leverage:

  • Let credit deteriorate (painful bankruptcies, values drop)
  • Print money (keeps debtors nominally solvent). This option takes longer and is less painful, but It doesn’t reduce the debt, it merely services it.

In a term most Coloradans can understand, James Biancho said our economy is “out over our skis.”

My conclusion: This economic cycle isn’t over yet. We have not solved our problems.

Read part II of Ann’s blog tomorrow.


What to ask before choosing your FEHB plan

1. Do you want an HMO, a PPO or FFS? This affects your flexibility in choosing doctors, specialists and facilities.

2. Do you want a traditional, consumer-driven or high-deductible health plan? Choosing the appropriate plan can save you valuable dollars.

3. How healthy are you? Does anyone in your family have a chronic health condition?

4. Premiums – How important is cost to you? Remember, your annual healthcare costs are more than just premiums – they include out-of-pocket expenses, too. The right to go to your current physician may be more important than premium costs.

5. What is your maximum annual out-of-pocket exposure? Look beyond the limit explained in the Outline of Coverage for hidden costs such as deductibles or co-pays that do not count toward the annual limit.

6. How is hospitalization covered? Normally this question get asked as you’re on the way to the hospital.

7. Do you need a referral to see a specialist?

8. Which of these services do you want covered? Well-child visits, Annual OB/GYN, Maternity care, annual physical, Chiropractic care, Mental health, Physical therapy, Health programs, Prescription drug coverage, dental coverage.

Do you have more questions? Give me a call at 303-922-4304, or email me at ann@annvanderslice.com.


Home Price Index

Home Price Index Lower…Again…The Case-Shiller 10-city Home Price Index fell by -3.8% year over year, and the 20-city Home Price Index fell even more, -4.6%. The monthly changes were mild positives, however the monthly numbers can be skewed by seasonality giving false readings both directions.

What it means – Lack of jobs, lack of quality borrowers, lack of any signals when things will turn around, higher homeowners insurance and the inability to sell a current home are all playing a part. This is a vicious cycle that needs a radical change if anything is going to upend the cycle soon.


News about Unemployment

August Unemployment Numbers Flat…For the first time since the 1940s, the number of jobs created in the US came in at exactly zero. The Unemployment Rate remained at 9.1% for the month of August.

What it means – This one is pretty self explanatory. On the face of it, on a net basis, no new jobs. What lies underneath is a world of repercussions and sub-texts. After $2.3 trillion in newly printed  dollars, $800 billion in stimulus spending, and over $700 billion in financial bailouts, we are teetering on the edge of recession and not creating new jobs.  Americans are at a stage of contraction, not expansion, and there aren’t many things the government can do to change it.


Are you Getting Nervous?

During times of increasing volatility, both investors and savers get nervous.  For the next few weeks (months?) until the equity market stabilizes, you’ll be receiving frequent communications like this one to help you interpret the news you’re hearing.

Week of August 22nd, 2011

Broad Concerns over European Banks…The same forces that have been a concern all year drove markets down this week. There is a real fear of meltdown of European banks. This has not been helped by reports that European banks have used emergency lending facilities from the Federal Reserve to access liquidity.

What it means –The European debt crisis is NOT resolved. US equities are now worth 5%-7% less than they were a week ago. This is not a valuation judgment on the part of market participants who are running for the exits. This is a fear of déjà vu, where no one wants to be left in the market if it melts down. This fear may be overblown for now.

However, we are certainly monitoring the markets to see if they break key support levels, such as 1,010-1,040 on the S&P 500. If that happens, it may be “Katie bar the door” and time to pare your equity holdings.

 

 


Defensive Driving on Federal Highways

When you learned to drive, you were taught to be on the lookout for others on the road including cars, bicyclists, small children and pets. What does driving have to do with your federal benefits? The same principles you learned as a new driver can help you navigate your federal career.

Sure, there are certain things you have no control over regarding your benefits, but you do have the ability to play defense (drive defensively) and use your benefits to your advantage. With a nod to racecar driving (not recommended on federal highways), here are some defensive tips you can consider depending on where you are in your federal career.


We Gotta Get Out of This Place

We gotta get out of this place
If it’s the last thing we ever do
We gotta get out of this place
‘Cause girl there’s a better life
For me and you
~ The Animals

At a recent retirement class, a group of federal employees (don’t ask me to name names) got up and actually sang this as their theme song.  Which got me thinking…with all the noise around shrinking government and making federal employees out to be the “bad” guys, what would the real effects of some of the current proposals be?


5 Things To Like About Pension Max

A recent article in FedSmith (3 Reasons for Federal Employees NOT to Do a “Pension Max”) outlined the things that can go wrong when utilizing a life insurance policy to replace your federal annuity survivorship benefits.  For balance, let’s take a look at  how a properly implemented plan can save you money, provide flexibility and give you control of that survivorship benefit.

The “Pension Max” strategy typically applies to married federal employees and usually only works if you are under the Civil Service Retirement System (CSRS).  If you are married, the two components to consider for your surviving spouse are whether they will need a portion of your annuity to continue to live the same lifestyle if you (the federal retiree) passes away first and whether they will need access to your Federal Employee Health Benefits.


Defying Gravity: How You Can Control the Increasing Costs of Healthcare

Gravity is typically a science term associated with the downward force that draws an object or living thing to earth. Because health insurance premiums aren’t an object or living thing – they aren’t subject to gravity’s force and tend to go up each year. So what can you do to create your own gravity and hold your health care costs down?

The average FEHB premium will increase 7.2% this year on top of last year’s 8.8% increase. While premiums are usually the first thing a federal employee or retiree looks at when choosing a health plan, paying attention to overall costs such as deductibles, co-pays for office visits and prescription drugs, and other out-of-pocket expenses can actually lower your overall healthcare expenses.